Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 382.529132 433.881087 490.754442 558.618494 637.657139 727.118688 836.486086
2025-12-14 302.422510 368.990730 449.287118 554.091698 688.465556 856.577839 1085.352721
2025-12-21 250.233613 319.874344 408.632477 531.535516 699.647495 924.989350 1255.795793
2025-12-28 227.779055 302.836517 403.081502 549.157236 760.637159 1062.118720 1536.358520
2026-01-04 212.080465 291.683991 402.410969 571.175490 828.210198 1215.690577 1865.404809
2026-01-11 193.875547 274.309503 390.082758 573.416516 865.111226 1326.844317 2146.276109
2026-01-18 174.997611 253.603861 370.082207 560.687866 875.671613 1396.117852 2367.691201
2026-01-25 159.408857 236.057878 352.664734 549.290948 885.790638 1464.478258 2597.727540
2026-02-01 151.745177 229.775349 351.766188 564.024292 940.936800 1617.386751 3012.467110
2026-02-08 141.775458 218.834252 342.177979 562.730483 967.282840 1721.382136 3350.786187
2026-02-15 132.111529 207.485442 330.741048 556.710398 983.785893 1808.465624 3670.413927
2026-02-22 125.264884 200.160839 325.282224 560.513294 1018.794823 1936.304216 4104.400858
2026-03-01 116.557973 189.159330 312.806779 550.629004 1026.991001 2013.024451 4444.269161
2026-03-08 109.561357 180.563892 303.831527 546.405886 1046.088806 2116.119693 4872.709010
2026-03-15 100.641734 167.910994 286.501871 524.199870 1025.058922 2127.722576 5072.924263
2026-03-22 98.047824 166.299529 289.132871 541.538810 1090.086820 2344.642952 5868.493888
2026-03-29 96.157404 165.784110 293.699468 563.200730 1167.521496 2604.550010 6857.181610
2026-04-05 91.991560 160.733982 289.172228 565.405368 1201.123391 2762.978952 7594.395236
2026-04-12 86.460852 152.728692 278.266729 552.883100 1198.641017 2829.041706 8064.885922
2026-04-19 81.522503 145.527473 268.407586 541.670326 1197.886544 2899.686063 8571.631116
2026-04-26 79.665526 144.144922 270.080450 556.165502 1262.223281 3158.822228 9799.644710
2026-05-03 76.334450 139.641681 265.031555 554.892649 1286.596156 3310.443350 10697.440850
2026-05-10 72.792904 134.492861 258.262766 548.969967 1298.154604 3427.132103 11505.308347